Where the krona went: money supply, rates, CPI and houses

Line chart, index 2002 = 100, quarterly to Q3 2026. Household loans rise to 4.8 times, SEK M3 money supply to 4.3 times and house prices to 3.3 times their 2002 level, while the KPIF consumer price index rises to 1.6 times and KPI to 1.5 times.

Educational analysis, not investment advice. No trading signals; the charts show co-movement, not cause and effect. Läs på svenska: Vart tog kronan vägen? Penningmängd, ränta, KPI och villor Swedish inflation came in on the low side in October. SCB’s flash estimate put KPIF at 1.1% and KPI at 0.9%, published the day after the Riksbank […]

Vart tog kronan vägen? Penningmängd, ränta, KPI och villor

Linjediagram, index 2002 = 100, kvartal t.o.m. kv3 2026. Hushållens lån stiger till 4,8 gånger, penningmängden M3 till 4,3 gånger och villapriserna till 3,3 gånger 2002 års nivå, medan KPIF stiger till 1,6 gånger och KPI till 1,5 gånger.

Utbildande analys, inte investeringsråd. Inga handelssignaler; graferna visar samvariation, inte orsak och verkan. Read in English: Where the krona went: money supply, rates, CPI and houses Den svenska inflationen blev lägre än väntat i oktober. SCB:s Snabb-KPI visade KPIF 1,1 % och KPI 0,9 %, och siffrorna kom dagen efter att Riksbanken höjt styrräntan till […]

Money printing in gold terms: dollar, euro and krona money supply since 1999

USD M2, EUR M3, SEK M3 (+ GBP/JPY OECD dashed), 1999=100. Line/bar chart, GAVF style; full numbers in numbers.csv.

Educational analysis of money printing in gold terms, not investment advice. No trading signals; descriptive only. “They just print more money” is one of the most common explanations for why things cost more. There is something to it: the stock of money in the US, the euro area and Sweden is several times larger than […]

The krona’s October bounce in a 55-year frame: SEK vs dollar, euro, pound and gold

Line chart of monthly USD/SEK, EUR/SEK and GBP/SEK exchange rates, with dots for the Riksbank mid rates on 30 October 2026. EUR/SEK rose from an average 8.45 in 2000 to 10.98 on 30 October; GBP/SEK at 13.17 is below its 2000 average of 13.88.

Educational analysis, not investment advice. No trading signals; descriptive only. October 2026 brought a headline Swedes like: the krona strengthened. EUR/SEK went from about 11.33 at the start of the month to 10.978 on 30 October (Riksbank mid rate). That is worth enjoying. It is also worth placing in a longer frame, against the dollar, […]

What your money buys in gold: USD, EUR, GBP, JPY and SEK, 1971–2026

gold price in local currency, index 2000=100, log, 1971–Oct 2026. Line/bar chart, GAVF style; full numbers in numbers.csv.

Educational analysis of currencies measured in gold, not investment advice. No trading signals; descriptive only. Currency news is usually a contest: the dollar against the euro, the krona against the pound. Someone always “wins”. This post steps outside that contest and measures five major currencies against something no central bank issues: an ounce of gold. […]

Why your krona paycheck buys less: prices, houses and gold, 1981–2025

Line chart 1981–2025, index 1981=100, log scale. Disposable income per person rises to 776, consumer prices to 373, real income to 208.

Ask a Swede whether their krona paycheck goes as far as it used to and most will say no. The data give a more precise answer: it depends on what you measure the paycheck against. Against ordinary consumer prices, the average Swede’s income buys more than it did in 1981. The sense that it buys […]

Who really shrank? Buybacks measured in gold, 2015–2026

Horizontal bar chart of the change in total shares outstanding for 36 US and Nordic companies, from early 2015 to October 2026, corrected 7 November 2026. Newmont (+111.2%), AT&T (+32.1%, actual SEC share counts; the WarnerMedia spin-off is not a split) and SSAB (+81.5%, from a 2016 rights issue) are the three companies that issued more than 5%. Apple (−37.8%), JPMorgan Chase (−28.9%), McDonald's (−27.3%), Home Depot (−24.3%) and Caterpillar (−24.2%) reduced their share counts the most. Eighteen companies cut shares by more than 5%, and 15 stayed within ±5%. Source: GAVF Gold-Oz Screener, BusinessCraft analysis; data as of 2026-10-19. Not a trading signal.

Correction, 7 November 2026: SSAB’s company value in gold was overstated (142, now 104) because its price history before the 2016 rights issue was adjusted while its share count was not. AT&T’s share count rose 32.1%, not −0.2%. Section 4 figures moved by under one percentage point; the conclusion is unchanged. This is not investment […]

How New Tariffs Are Reshaping Global Supply Chains and Business Strategy

Containerkranar i Tokyobukten

Summary U.S. trade policy has entered a more aggressive phase in 2026, with the Trump administration using tariffs and trade investigations to reshape the country’s relationship with major trading partners. On July 23, 2026, the U.S. Trade Representative announced final Section 301 action covering 60 economies, with tariffs of 10% or 12.5% depending on each […]

Global Economic Growth Outlook 2026–2027: IMF Forecast, Energy Shocks and AI Investment

IMF:s huvudkontor i Washington, D.C.

Summary The global economy is entering 2026 under the influence of two powerful and opposing forces: a renewed energy shock linked to conflict in the Middle East and a technology investment boom driven by artificial intelligence. The International Monetary Fund’s latest July 2026 World Economic Outlook Update projects global real GDP growth of 3.0% in […]